How to Stimulate the Economy: What will happen if we get rid of / abolish minimum wage? Will there be more jobs?
84Introduction
People talk about how to stimulate the economy all the time. Federal Reserve is trying to pump more money into the economy through "quantitative easing", but the money seem to be stuck in the banks, and not trickling down to the people.
There is actually a very simple solution: abolish minimum wage EVERYWHERE in the US.
Why? Because this still stimulate hiring and expansion, and in return, actually move the money from the banks into the economy. And it really has very little downside.
However, let us go into the history a little... Why is there a minimum wage at all?
A (Very) Short History of Minimum Wage
For the first 50 years of the United States, there was no such thing as a minimum wage. In fact, Supreme Court had once outlawed labor unions, ruling that collective bargaining infringed upon the rights of individual workers to negotiate their own wages. As a result, wages are extremely low, and got even lower during the Great Depression, when jobs are even harder to come by. People are paid pennies a day for a full day's work.
Theodore Roosevelt used the wage issue in his 1936 campaign for the presidency, promising to solve the problem if he elected. He won, and minimum wage was introduced in 1938 in the "Fair Labor Practices Act" that set the national minimum wage at 25 cents per hour. Ever since, the Federal Minimum Wage was revised upward (and occasionally, downward) by Congress every few years.
In 1997, President Clinton signed legislation that allowed each state to set its own minimum wage.
Why Minimum Wage Hurts The Economy
Why does minimum wage hurts the economy? Because this disrupts the balance between employer and employee.
Think of employer and employee as engaged in a tug of war, with the "middle" being the current salary level.
If the two sides are balanced, the salary remains stable.
If a new pool of labor is opened up, more people competing for the same jobs, salary will fall, because some people are willing to accept less money for the same job.
If some sort of law is passed shrinking the labor pool (some sort of training requirement), then the salary will rise, because there are less people willing to accept the job for same amount of money.
A new equilibrium will be reached, and that is the new salary level.
Minimum wage upsets that balance. The wage was simply a line drawn somewhere.
To employer: "You must pay at least this much!"
To employee, "You must accept at least this much, and you are not allowed to work for less!"
That arbitrary line simply makes no sense. Freedom to choose on both sides had been restricted, and to what purpose?
What if the employee work for too little?
The employee have his or her reasons to work for the wage s/he chooses to. Maybe she can live leaner than others, or have other sort of support system. One "living wage" or "minimum wage" does not apply to everybody. Everyone is different.
Besides, if an employee doesn't make enough to make ends meet, then s/he will leave for a job that would, and that don't-pay-enough job will go unfilled and goes to another employee that CAN work for that price.
If nobody is willing to work for that salary, then the employer have to raise the salary to attract candidates.
Why Minimum Wage Does NOT Help the Employee Much
Labor activists and liberals claim that without minimum wage, the wages will be too low to live on. This is a bogus argument, and smacks of "Big Brother". Basically, they are saying the workers are too stupid to realize they are selling themselves too cheaply, so the government must protect them from their own stupidity.
How does the supply and demand of labor balance out? Let's say the employers, instead of paying $10 dollars per hour, only wants to pay $5 now. Since the existing workers can't live on $5 per hour, they will quit and find a higher paying job. Elsewhere, people who CAN afford to work for only $5 per hour (less skilled, etc.) will come to work for this employer.
What if this employer wants to go even lower? Let's say, 1 dollar per hour? If there are NO people willing to work for $1 per hour, then the job won't get filled. So the employer will have to find a wage for the job he needs done, and $1 is clearly too low.
Besides, a single person working at a minimum wage job is WAY BELOW the Federal "poverty line", usually only 75% of the poverty line threshold, sometimes lower.
Furthermore, living conditions for each worker varies. Different areas have different costs of living. Furthermore, some may be able to live for less if he's living back home, with someone else, sharing a flat, and so on.
A national "minimum wage" just doesn't work. It will be too high for some areas, not enough for other areas, and the bureaucracy needed to maintain such a thing can be better spent on other things.
In fact, another study says that for every 10% increase in minimum wage, the population of 16-24 year old with less than high school diploma fared worse. Whites lost 2.5%, Latinos lost 1.2%, and Blacks lost 6.5%.
Furthermore, a minimum wage will often encourage the company to move the jobs overseas where the wages are much cheaper. Why do you think the iPhones and iPads are made in China?
Even if the jobs stay domestic, it basically encourages hiring of illegal workers, who are willing to accept less than minimum wage as they are already illegal, breaking another law is not a problem.
Minimum wage doesn't help the workers much. It simply makes sure the employers hire LESS people (if they stay legal), or go extra-legal (like going overseas or hire illegals).
Why Minimum Wage Makes the Employer Worse Off
A business have various expenses: equipment, material, overhead... and labor.
With labor "fixed" at minimum wage (or higher), and overhead probably fixed as well, this gives the business far less flexibility to control expenditure. Let us study this very hypothetical example:
Let's say the business owner has studied the expenditures of his proposed store. He knows the cost of his goods, his overhead, his equipment, and so on. Those are pretty fixed. He knows what sort of profit margin he wants, so he budgeted for 2 employees at what he considers to be a fair price, and set the item prices accordingly.
Now let us study the possibilities.
Let's say there is a large flux of immigrants into the area, expanding the labor pool considerably. So there are a few possibilities... Either the quality of the candidates go up (and productivity goes up), or the actual pay per employee goes down, as the immigrants are willing to sacrifice pay to get work. Very often, BOTH happens, as productivity gains are very hard to measure, but salary cuts are easy. Either way, the business profit improves, and the business can expand, and more money gets pumped into the economy.
However, the "minimum wage" is implemented, and the salary does NOT fall, then the profit will NOT improve, and economy will not expand. The only gains are through productivity, and that's usually higher equipment expenditures and so on.
If that example didn't quite work, think of it this way: with all the competition (all the other jobs out there), the wage level is "self-regulating". You have to offer a "fair" wage or you will have few if any to work for you. The difference is what is the definition of "fair", and who are the best judge for that other than the employer and the employees themselves? Nobody!
In fact, a study shows that the increase of minimum wage in July 2009 may have caused a LOSS of 800000 jobs. The math and explanations are a little thin, but people are raising the issue.
Why Abolish Minimum Wage?
- The vast majority of economists believe the minimum wage law costs the economy thousands of jobs.
- Teenagers, workers in training, college students, interns, and part-time workers all have their options and opportunities limited by the minimum wage.
- A low-paying job remains an entry point for those with few marketable skills.
- Abolishing the minimum wage will allow businesses to achieve greater efficiency and lower prices.
- When you force American companies to pay a certain wage, you increase the likelihood that those companies will outsource jobs to foreign workers, where labor is much cheaper.
- Non-profit charitable organizations are hurt by the minimum wage.
- The minimum wage can drive some small companies out of business.
- A minimum wage gives businesses an additional incentive to mechanize duties previously held by humans.
- Cost-of-living differences in various areas of the country make a universal minimum wage difficult to set.
- Elimination of the minimum wage would mean more citizens and fewer illegals would be hired for low-pay hourly jobs, leading to greater tax revenues and less incentive for illegal immigration.
- The minimum wage creates a competitive advantage for foreign companies, providing yet another obstacle in the ability of American companies to compete globally.
- The minimum wage law is just another example of government condescendingly controlling our actions and destroying personal choice. Citizens do have the ability to saynoto a lower wage.
Conclusion
Reduce or eliminate minimum wage will stimulate the economy, as hiring workers, who are flexible, is cheaper than purchasing equipment for automation and other productivity multipliers. This would fix unemployment, get money circulating in the economy, and thus, improve overall conditions.
Why keep the minimum wage? There really isn't much reason to.
You obviously don't have a minimum wage job.Also I'd love for you to find one person who can live off five dollars an hour, I barely get by on minimum wage as it is. Maybe pay athletes and actors less, not the hard working middle class who need every bit of that seven twenty five an hour. Or here's a thought lets stop giving criminals free healthcare, minimum wage is the last thing that should go.
This was a very interesting hub on the effect of minimum wage. The idea was implemented in a period when it was necessary. However, some things continue well past their usefulness. We have minimum wage in Trinidad as well; employers always complain when it is increased. It is true that minimum wage alters the natural forces of demand and supply.
However, if this were an ideal world, employers would not short-change employees and vice-versa. The problem with abolishing the minimum wage is that some employers would abuse it; this will affect the majority of workers. Not only that, the power of an employer is not equivalent to the power of an individual employee. Workers may not be adequately compensated for the profits they help to generate or the risk that they take in doing the job. To say that the market forces would automatically correct the situation is to have too much faith in it. Then, governments worry about persons seeking alternative to legal employment and social ills that result.
What is more important is not the abolition of minimum wages but properly setting it to reflect market conditions. This does not happen currently, since minimum wages are normally revised upwards and do not change according to the economic conditions. To avoid the minimum wage being onerous to anyone, it should be monitored and increased or decreased accordingly.
This is a nice, informative hub. Voted up, useful and interesting.
kschang - may i disagree with almost every point on your 12 point agenda? Just read the paper linked below.
http://www.irle.berkeley.edu/workingpapers/157-07.
Any issue on minimum wages reflects the real status of the economy. Minimum wages apply mostly on service related jobs. With little true prosperity created in an economy from the lack of producing industries, there is little to distribute, and service, its employers and employees have to take the blow.
That is the macro economic view on the situation.
Now a little math: Lets assume 20 Million Americans work part time 80 hours/month (roughly 1000 hours per year). Assuming every one of those jobs is payed 7 bucks/hour (minimum wage), that totals to 140 Billion USD/year. Raising minimum wage 1 USD is 20 Billion/year. What are we talking about? Thats what public dept piles up in less than a week.
Adding or taking away one dollar from the minimum wage people does not stimulate economy, in comparison it is not even worth the first letter (2%) of the monster wording "quantitive easing".
kschang: That's where the problem comes in. Ideally, it'd be best to have a minimum wage, but one that can be monitored and not only adjusted upwards for the purpose of appeasing workers (and many voters in the next election). In reality, it'd be very hard to get that ideal, especially with the constant monitoring and bureaucratic efficiency of government. This is not saying that it is impossible - just unlikely.
All of that is really cool if it wasn't that since there aren't enough jobs for 100% unemployment there always will be somebody willing to work for less, as opposed to work for nothing.
People who get the minimum wage are already screwed enough, if you remove that as well eventually they'll work at least for free because the alternative is somebody else working.
On the meanwhile, the business owner can get higher profits. Lovely.
They are not too stupid, they just prefer $2 per hour and working 20h per day than 0.
Look at the prices for online writing. As soon as somebody is willing to work for free (and be thankful to be published), people expect an essay for $3.
I doubt people who need the money to pay the bills are writing for free at the Huffington Post... Would you let your (hypothetic) children starve or would you accept a job for $2 if there's nothing else available?
There are a couple of flaws in your premise. Our government is suppose to represent the people. It is suppose to be the collective will of the people.
As such, the premise that individual employees will be able to negotiate a "fair" wage with today's mega corporations is patently false. More likely to happen is that the company considering hiring a new employee would just as soon hire the individual willing to work for the least.
It is the role of government to focus the power we have collectively for the greater good of all of us. We would not be able to accomplish this individually.
The other flaw with your premise is that you base your rationale on the belief that the recovery will be Big Business driven.
The reality is that Big Business is currently doing fine. Most big companies are profitable, and managing to get peak productivity out of the workers they currently have to satisfy current demand.
The reality is that any true recovery will need to be driven by the consumer. Until consumer demand is greater than a company's ability to fulfill at its present rate of productivity, that company will not hire. No matter how cheap the employee will be.
Until consumer demand goes up, the jobs will not return. Businesses don't hire because workers are inexpensive. They hire to meet consumer demand.
By the way, minimum wage has continued to increase as the cost of everything else increased. Remember what eggs, a gallon of milk, and bread cost in 2000?
@kschang
Not a particular business, but business in general. I guess we view businesses differently. I don't trust private industry to do what is in the best interests of the individual. And to say I want government to fight for workers overstates my position. I just don't agree that abolishing the minimum wage will have the effect of increasing jobs.
By the way, many companies are non unionized, including the production plants of Toyota and Honda that are located in non union states. But that is a different story. Unions, to me are a double edged sword. They have contributed to the solution as much as to the problem.
We do agree on one point: the chicken and the egg analogy. You are right that something needs to drive the income, jobs, demand dynamic.
But I don't believe it will begin with removing the minimum wage. Minimum wage earners are not a significant cost center for many businesses. The premise that businesses would hire IF they didn't have to pay employees as much is one I don't buy.
Abolishing the minimum wage will only result in low wage jobs being created. Hardly the middle class driven recovery that is needed. And that is already occurring. It's called the Wal mart effect.
Replacing well paying, blue collar jobs with low paying retail positions will not get the economy humming along. The focus should not be just creating jobs, but rather, creating QUALITY jobs that drive the development of the middle class.
@kschang
Your first paragraph is correct to a point. The first step would be the development of domestic industries. I saw a story someplace where unemployed auto workers were re trained to manufacture wind turbines. That would be on a micro level, but the same theory could be applied on a greater scale. Unfortunately, our current Congress is unable to discern between spending and investment.
Once again, economic theory holds that organizations won't hire until demand is greater than their current production capabilities. If they need more labor, then yes, they will hire. But a business won't hire just to have additional people on the payroll.
We agree on entrepreneurship being the true driver of the middle class. But not everyone is built for running their own business. And when you hire low wage individuals to staff your company, then you know the adage: you get what you pay for.
We also agree in the last paragraph. Our educational system is sorely outdated and needs to be better designed to fulfill the demands of the coming economy.
Unfortunately, it is currently still administrated by individuals who were molded by the 20th century model. But once again, our current political system doesn't allow for such grand changes to the educational system. And of course, there is the whole expense vs. investment thing.
We have the largest income gap in the history of the country, the top 2% control 65% of the wealth in the country, corporations are sitting on record profits, not hiring and not investing back into the companies...and your solution is to make the poor take even less? Disgusting.
@kschang
No disagreement. Anticipating trends and positioning for them has been the key to success for many Fortune 500 companies.
But expecting the economy to rebound quickly will require more than jobs paying less than 7.25 an hour. That's only $290 per week. Companies will always find someone willing to do work for peanuts, but that will never be the key to revitalizing the economy.
As for your question posed above about getting companies to hire, here's a suggestion: Remove all tax subsidies and incentives and replace them with tax credits tied to hiring. That gives businesses a reason to hire, which in turn creates jobs with incomes, which in turn drives demand. Now the wheel begins to turn.
@kschang
Now we're starting to reach some common ground and work on solutions.
I could get on board with most of the suggestions you outlined. Too bad our current Congress would never actually work together to make the country better if it means that the current administration gets the credit if things improve.
kschang, you asked me questions 4 weeks ago in this hub discussion. Sorry coming back late. You wrote:
What'll happen is mix of:
a) layoff
b) exporting of jobs
c) employment of illegals / paying LESS than minimum
d) raising prices so LESS goods gets sold because cost went up.
WHICH one of these helps the economy, pray tell?
My answer:
a) and b) are linked together. So i might as well provide a hint on those two.
Ok, if you compare the American economic policy with policies of other developed countries, you may find out that every faily successful economy follows a set of rules to keep employment in the country. You may call this protectionistic, well - it is not. Because at the end all has to follow free world market laws.
For the US - there are no rules. The policy is called laissez faire, do nothing. This lack of firm rules, of strategic policies is what destroys jobs. That is important, and not the discussion about minimum wage.
c) that´s illegal, no comment from me, even though i accept reality
d) i don´t understand, what does this have to do with minimum wages? Any business owner doing this will go out of business very soon, this contradicts with market rules.
CHRIS57
With the exception of a government minimum wage standard there is nothing holding back an employer to paying a worker more money. Good workers are sometimes hard to find, good workers who produce more , get paid more. The cost of the service and what the service can charge is a factor in the wage battle. If the government raises taxes and costs to the employer, there is less for the employer to pay a certain wage.
What is stopping a business from saying that you must accept $0.50 an hour as your pay? Nothing. For those drawing unemployment, refusing a $0.50 an hour job, you mean their unemployment would be cut off, regardless of if the person can actually LIVE off that amount or not. Try going to the store with a $20 a week gross pay check (5 day work week), not counting taxes and with-holdings, and see what you can actually buy with that. You can't even feed yourself for a week for that amount.
I know you'd say they should work 7 days a week, but even then, they would only make a $28, not counting taxes and with-holdings.
Again, not enough to really buy any food, let alone live anywhere but the street.
As for the, businesses will be forced to raise wages if people won't take the jobs at the lower pay they set. What's stopping a business from deciding that they won't raise the wages, but instead, will find a foreign source that will give them that rate that they want? Nothing. It's all about paying the lowest possible amount for the most work. They don't care about what you want. So think again if you are foolish enough to think they will fairly pay people if they can abolish protections that workers have.
kschang
Many years ago the motto was '' buy American''. All that sounded good except that the public bought foreign products before buying an inferior American product that cost more than the import from Japan. Recently President Obama preached that Americans should '' buy American''.
The US Government bought campaign buses made in Canada .Stimulus money went to China, Spain, Germany to purchase parts and equipment for the solar and wind industry.
The cost of union made products put America at a disadvantage. The highest taxes in the world are placed on our companies adding to the cost of products here in the USA.
kschang
THE GOVERNMENT PASSING A MINUMUM WAGE HAS MERIT. Most companies recognize a good employee and that employee is awarded with higher pay. No one worker is the same as to how he/she does the job. We must recognize that the employer who has a product to sell or make needs the public to purchase that product to stay in business. The competition in the private sector is not the same as in the public sector, although it should be when it comes to comparing wages and benefits for similar work.
The US Government has a $15 trillion debt and $100 trillion of unfunded mandates, still is operating. Any business in the private sector would go out of business. Government takes other peoples money, private sector generally has someone losing his investment in the company.
Public sector unions are killing our economic system and the American taxpayer. The debt unleashed by their outrageous benefits plans simply cannot be paid. The union bosses have lied to their members about lifetime benefits and they have betrayed the American people. Public sector unions must be disbanded and outlawed before our country resembles Greece, Spain and other European countries that are teetering on the brink of destruction, thanks to unions just like ours.
kschang
Enjoyed your hub and the debate from all sides.Unionized workers are not bad. they are bad when the union gets control over the employer, as in the public sector.
je
kschang
''Minimum wage is supposed to ensure a "living wage",''
A living minumum wage destroyed by our government with high gas prices,high food prices, higher taxation and the loss of buying power of our dollar.Socialism is not the way to solve the nations problems.The people want to go to work and earn a decent wage.
FINALLY SOME SENSE! Of coarse minimum wage is bad for the economy! For the people on minimum wage saying they couldn't afford a drop well think about this... If we were to drop minimum wage the ONLY people who are going to work for say 4 or 5 dollars an hour are the less experienced like say 13-15 year olds who right now are competing with the 16-19 year olds if those 16-19 year old kids or anyone on minimum wage say "hey I can't afford to work like this" they will quit and look for higher paying jobs so the employer will have to choose do I now higher the 13-15 year olds for lower quality work or do I pay a little more (around the current minimum wage) to keep the slightly higher quality workers or the 16-19 year olds... the people immediately think there pay would go down if minimum wage was gotten rid of well no but give it time it might go up... Stick with me, if the company instead of paying 8 dollars an hour is now paying 4 they will higher 2 people for the price of 1 now. There productivity almost doubles (maybe not quite because the quality of work may go down but for the sake of math) when it doubles they can expand there business now sense they have doubled there business they hire even more workers meaning higher competition and wages go up but now the company has twice the businesses as before doubling society's wealth as a whole!
kschang
‘’They STILL don't make enough to live on ANY WAY. Thus, minimum wage doesn't really make sense.’’
The minimum wage is not paid in all industries simply because certain jobs require more education . One must remember that the training grounds for our youth is important to them learning and understanding the word ’’ WORK’’. BECAUSE of today’s economy it is necessary for workers to accept minimum paid jobs .Shameful that our government is not working together to stimulate jobs in the private sector.
Today the President chided Congress not to derail the recovery. Not once did Obama refer to the Democrats in the Senate holding up 23 jobs bills passed by the House. The House is only one half of the Congress, to people in the know that understand that the other half, the Senate, aren’t getting the job done. Senator Reid should compromise and at least allow the Senators to debate, amend or approve/reject the House jobs bills. That’s the way Congress is suppose to work. The Guy in the Whitehouse should be kicking butts, Harry’s to be exact. Funny how Obama blames the minority, 1/3 of government, rather than the 2/3s who have been in majority control since 2007. To be continued.
kschang
''Now is NOT the time to cut spending, but to INCREASE spending.'' ''The 'economic stimulus' given to the various city and state governments..'' ''trying to feed money through the top, has far more immediate impact, actually create jobs immediately, and leaves a lasting legacy.'' NOT SO!
THE SCORECARD
Tarp was $700 billion, the Stimulus started at $750 billion is now $1 trillion, 3 consecutive $1.2 trillion deficits which raised the National Debt over $16 trillion. It cost $1 billion a year to manage paying the debt. The US Government’s credit rating reduced from triple AAA by a credit agency.
President Obama and his party want to increase revenue by raising taxes on millionaires and billionaires. The Presidents plan is to get money into the economy . Obama extends unemployment benefit to 99 weeks, gives so called tax breaks to working citizens ( payroll taxes ) and continues funding the green energy industry. All of the above did not accomplish the main goal of getting people back to work as promised.
The solutions to stop the madness was when the house passed the Cut,Cap and Balanced Budget bill back in November2011.The Senate killed the bill and have done nothing to solve the problems.
The Senator Coburn report '' WASTE IN GOVERNMENT'' http://coburn.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/rightnow
WASTE IN GOVERNMENT ALL IN THE RED
‘’ Back In Black’’














PETER LUMETTA Level 6 Commenter 10 months ago
China and India are both considering expoting jobs to the US because even though the wages are slightly higher the productivity is much higher. They don't seem to mind a minimum wage, because they get more for their money. The minimum wage i don't think has anything much to do with the fact that the banks and big corps are siting on trillions of dollars. They will go wherever they can to make more money. I think your argument really doesn't hold water when even India and Thailand have minimum wage requirements. Let's not give the money master more reasons to gut the American workers for their last drop of blood. Thanks for the intersting point of view,
Peter